If there is one image that has haunted Capitals fans, more than their near clockwork second round exit, it is Micah Blake McCurdy’s “Rainbow Death Crab.” Best known for his hockey visualizations, as soon as the Stanley Cup playoffs roll around, McCurdy’s Crab likewise makes its return to spell out the future triumphs or failures of the teams that made it to the final 16.
For anyone unfamiliar with McCurdy’s probability charts, they’re based on his model known as Edgar, which — in his own words — considers “shots generated and allowed, including their locations, shooting and goaltending results, special teams, penalties drawn and taken, rest, and home ice advantage.” Also taken into account are “injuries, suspensions, and likely roster compositions.”
McCurdy then simulates “each game ten thousand times, given injuries and coaches’ past allotments of icetime.” He then computes “probability for the home-ice team using Edgar. Different teams benefit in different amounts from home-ice advantage because of their different strengths and weaknesses.”
However, long before the Crab awakened to bestow its prophetic assessment on the 2018 playoffs, McCurdy made his own prediction. That the Capitals would, ultimately, win the Cup at the close of the 2017-18 season.
I reckon the Caps win the cup.
— Micah Blake McCurdy (@IneffectiveMath) October 4, 2017
Now, as a tribute to the Capitals historic Cup win, one talented fan has recreated McCurdy’s Rainbow Death Crab in cross stitch, and it is the perfect mixture of the nerdy, creative, and seriously epic.