TJ Oshie didn’t come close to matching last year’s gaudy goal total, but he became a postseason assassin on the power play to help the Caps win the Cup.
|18.4||time on ice per game|
|50.4||5-on-5 shot-attempt percentage, adjusted|
|59.6||5-on-5 goal percentage, adjusted|
About this visualization: This series of charts made by Micah Blake McCurdy of hockeyviz.com shows various metrics for the player over the course of the season. A short description of each chart:
Told ya so.
My O/U on Oshie goals next season is 19.5.
— Good Tweet Pete 🌮 (@peterhassett) June 18, 2017
I love Oshie but he will have to get lucky to score 20 goals next season.
— Good Tweet Pete 🌮 (@peterhassett) June 23, 2017
(Feel free to enjoy the replies to those tweets.)
Oshie ended up scoring 18 goals in the regular season, including a 22-game stretch from late November to late January in which Oshie scored just one goal (while notching 11 assists). Oshie didn’t come close to hitting the 30-goal mark, which is exactly in line with expectations based on two priors: Oshie’s shot rate and his injury history – the latter factoring in heavily in his 2017-18 goal total.
For the second season in a row, Oshie missed time to a concussion. This time it was eight games. That deprived Oshie of the opportunity to score, but it doesn’t appear to have had lingering effects on his output.
While Oshie has a propensity for injury, it’s not the injuries that are slowing his scoring rates when he does play. Oshie simply doesn’t have the rates to justify further 20-goal seasons without an obscene amount of luck. The aging curve will be increasingly vicious to his output and resistance to injury as his contract wears on.
But that doesn’t matter right now. Whatever we make of his resilience or production, Oshie’s performance in the postseason was dynamic and thrilling. He added 21 points to the championship effort, throwing big hits to drive play in his team’s favor, and recording six goals from the slot on the power play – the long-fabled “second wrinkle” that the Caps extra-man unit needed to stay deadly once opponents shut down the Ovi Spot.
Oshie will likely never be a 30-goal scorer again, and twenty goals may soon become a pipe dream, but his contributions shouldn’t be overlooked.
When you've still got to finish playing a hockey game but your jam comes on. pic.twitter.com/3doMtK0dDc
— Sportsnet (@Sportsnet) March 4, 2018
How does Oshie’s role evolve as he gets older? At one point should he drop in the lineup to allow younger, more productive forwards to get ice?
Read more: Japers’ Rink
Headline photo: Cara Bahniuk
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