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The Washington Capitals currently have the best odds to win the Stanley Cup at the All-Star Break

By Ian Oland

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January 23, 2020 5:41 pm

The Washington Capitals are the top team in the NHL at the All-Star Break and now they are tracking favorably for a long postseason run.

According to MoneyPuck.com, the Capitals have the best chance of any NHL team to win the Stanley Cup.

The Capitals currently have an 8.4 percent chance to win the Stanley Cup which is a half-percentage point more than the St. Louis Blues (7.9 percent), who MoneyPuck believes has a strong chance to repeat. Tampa Bay (7.7 percent), Colorado (7 percent), Vegas (6.8 percent) round out the top five. These five teams are bunched together before a big falloff to the sixth-place team, the Toronto Maple Leafs (5.2 percent).

The playoff probabilities are figured out by using advanced data and 100,000 simulations. The site was created by Former Obama Analytics Team Staffer Peter Tanner.

The Capitals also are predicted to finish the season with 111 standings points and have a 72.2 percent chance of winning the Metropolitan Division. MoneyPuck also gives the Capitals a 55.7 percent chance to make the second round, a 30 percent chance of making the Eastern Conference Final, and a 15.7 percent chance of making the Stanley Cup Final. Only the St. Louis Blues (99.7 percent) have a better chance of making the playoffs than the Capitals (99.3 percent).

The Capitals currently have 71 standings points at midseason – the most in the NHL despite having played two games less than many of the teams behind them.

If the playoffs started today, the Capitals would play the Carolina Hurricanes again in the first round, who currently sits in the second wildcard spot.

Headline photo: NBC Sports Washington

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