For the second straight year, Vitek Vanecek put up an almost fine regular season and an atrocious playoffs, and he threatens to do the same next season unless someone does something.
About this visualization: This series of charts made by Micah Blake McCurdy of hockeyviz.com shows lots of information for the player over the season. A short description of each chart:
About this visualization: At three times during the season, RMNB shared an open survey with fans, asking the following question for each player:
On a scale from 1 to 5, how HAPPY are you to have this player on the team?
1 means VERY UNHAPPY TO HAVE THEM ON THE TEAM
2 means UNHAPPY
3 means NEITHER HAPPY NOR UNHAPPY
4 means HAPPY
5 means VERY HAPPY TO HAVE THEM ON THE TEAM
The numbers above show the average score for the player in each survey period.
Just like with Samsonov, let’s begin at the end. For the second consecutive year, Vitek Vanecek had a positively deadly postseason. He let in seven goals against 3.6 expected goals, which is unplayably bad. That’s an unfortunate capstone on a season that was maybe more stable than his competitor’s, but not really laudable either.
On aggregate, Vanecek was only slightly below expected (103 actual goals allowed on 99.1 expected goals). JP made this point in February but I’ll revisit it now: the aggregate numbers kinda mask how many bad games Vanecek put up.
The median Vanecek hockey game is pretty underwhelming, with him allowing in maybe one extra goal than expected. Here’s a histogram of the same data. Each block represents one appearance; left are bad games; right are good games. I’ve labeled.
I think that states it plainly. Vanecek puts up mostly “meh” performances, asking his offense to offset what he lacks. And they’re plenty good at doing so, but it sure would be nice to have a goalie whose average performance was, ya know, a little closer to average.
Vanecek is a restricted free agent, so again it’s more likely than not that he comes back, and our “modal outcome” or whatever megadweebs would call it, is a third year of the Samsonov vs Vanecek dance, a circumstance I ardently would like to avoid. Unlike last summer though, the front office might agree with me this time.
welcome back to a true kraken legend. pic.twitter.com/EsGC5mudGX
— Seattle Kraken (@SeattleKraken) November 22, 2021
Are you psyched for Samsonov vs. Vanecek round three?! Let’s effing gooooooooo.
Read more: Japers Rink
Russian Machine Never Breaks is not associated with the Washington Capitals; Monumental Sports, the NHL, or its properties. Not even a little bit.
All original content on russianmachineneverbreaks.com is licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported (CC BY-NC-SA 3.0)– unless otherwise stated or superseded by another license. You are free to share, copy, and remix this content so long as it is attributed, done for noncommercial purposes, and done so under a license similar to this one.