Ilya Protas: 2025-26 season review

RMNB season review image 2025-26, Mike Tyson punchout theme

Ilya Protas is ready.


By the Numbers

1

Goals

3

Assists

4

Games played

16

Minutes per game
On-ice percentages

46%

Shot attempts

44%

Expected goals

50%

Actual goals

Isolated Impact  by HockeyViz

HockeyViz player isolate
About this visualization:  This image by  Micah Blake McCurdy of hockeyviz.com  shows how the player has impacted play when on the ice. At the top of the image is the team’s offense (even strength at left, power play at right) and at bottom is the team’s defense (with penalty kill at bottom right). In each case, red/orange blobs mean teams shoot for more from that location on the ice, and blue/purple means less. In general, a good player should have red/orange blobs near the opponent’s net at top, and blue/purple blobs near their own team’s net at bottom. The distributions in middle show how the player compares to league average at individual finishing, setting up teammates to score, and taking and drawing penalties. The number at center is Synthetic Goals: a catch-all number for the player’s impact.

Player Card  by Evolving Hockey

Evolving Hockey player card
About this player card:  This card from Josh and Luke of  Evolving Hockey  compares the player to league averages based on their impact on on-ice statistics. GAR means “goals above replacement,” where “replacement” means an average player called up from the AHL. xGAR is the same figure but assuming league-average goaltending. The numbers at top are the player’s percentile ranks overall and then for offense and defense alone. 

Player Overview  by NHL Edge

NHL Edge overview
About this visualization:  The NHL’s advanced statistics program, Edge, tracks player and puck movement. The player’s shot speed, skating speed, and skating distance are at top along with percentile rank. At bottom left is a shot location map, and at bottom right is zone time per zone.

Gratuitous Generative Art by Peter

Using p5.js, the player’s name is a seed that randomizes a bunch of values in an animated canvas with glitchy effects that should be gradual enough not to mess with people with sensory issues. Not AI. Not all that different from Logo, which I learned in like 1992.


Peter’s Take

Player
Rating
Percentile among forwards
62Ilya ProtasForwardF
Age 19 · 6’6″ · 225 lbs · 🇧🇾 · ♋️
4GP
1G
3A
4P
50.0%GF%
39.1%xGF%
45.7%SA%

2025-26 stats

We are calling an audible. In normal cases, a player who appears in just four games does not get a season review. Ilya Protas is a special case.

He’s a baby – his 20th birthday is next month – but he’s a freakishly large baby. In the style of Baby Huey, except instead of a duck wearing diapers, the baby is a Belorussian human already ready for the NHL.

Fun fact: Lil Pro’s first goal was on the power play. He got 9.7 minutes of power play time in 4 games – five times the rate of his big brother.

Those bleak final weeks of the regular season were made brighter by the debut of Aliaksei’s *little* brother, who scored a point per game and looked like he was having a blast. I included the stat infographics above, but with barely an hour of ice time I would not put any weight on it. At all. The future of Ilya Protas is yet to be determined, but his AHL performance suggests very good things. He was second in scoring among rookies (behind only the frankenstein’s monster of hockey names and families that is Quinn Hutson).

In a way, as we figure out the ceiling for Ilya Protas next season, we will also figure out the ceiling for the entire team.


Lil Pro on RMNB

Strome and Protas brothers take legendary photo together before Capitals preseason game in Hershey

Hershey Bears collect 81,796 stuffed animals at 2026 Teddy Bear Toss Game. Ilya Protas: ‘I was feeling like I’m a 10-years-old child.’

Ilya Protas scores first NHL goal, records three points in Capitals’ 6-3 win over Penguins: ‘I’m really happy’


Your Turn

It’s too easy to ask if Ilya will start next season with the Caps, so instead tell me this: will he be a top-six forward in his rookie year?

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