• HOME
  • STORE
    • SPREADSHIRT STORE
    • SOCKS
    • RMNB STICKER SHOP
    • SUPPORT US ON PATREON
  • PODCAST
  • ABOUT
    • PRIVACY POLICY
    • COMMENT POLICY
    • CONTACT US
  • HOME
  • STORE
    • SPREADSHIRT STORE
    • SOCKS
    • RMNB STICKER SHOP
    • SUPPORT US ON PATREON
  • PODCAST
  • ABOUT
    • PRIVACY POLICY
    • COMMENT POLICY
    • CONTACT US

Swipe to Navigate Older/Newer Posts

  • TRENDING    |
    • Ovi 3pts at ASG
    • Ovi Jr wins Breakaway Challenge
    • Dylan Strome re-signs
    • Stadium Series jersey
    • Ovi Jr.’s fav player

    Home / RMNB / Six-Game Losing Streaks Are Rare

    Six-Game Losing Streaks Are Rare

    By

     0 Comment

    December 13, 2010 1:34 pm

    seminSad

    Photo credit: Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

    Losing seven to nothing is bad, but when it extends your losing streak to six games you have to ask: is it time to panic yet?

    Sure, there are plays where the blueliners make you want to rip your hair out, but the scoring chances are there — the lighting of the lamp isn’t. So how often should a team as good average as the Washington Capitals lose six games in a row?

    Since we know how many goals-for the Caps generate per game this year (3.06), and how many they give up (2.88), we can use the Pythagorean formula to figure out how often they should win against an average team. In this case, they should beat an average team 53% of the time. Using a Monte Carlo simulator to simulate 10,000 82-game seasons we can see how often a 6-game losing skid should occur just by random chance alone. Keep in mind these streaks are the longest in any given 82-game simulated season, so when you see a 5-game streak, that was the longest streak in that given simulated season.

    Longest losing streaks by simulated season

    Longest losing streaks by simulated season

    A team with the same goals-for and goals-against ratios like this year’s Capitals should experience a 6-game losing streak about once every 5 years. When you factor in the team is without their top defensive pair of Mike Green and Jeff Schultz and they are seeing some very, VERY bad luck lately, it still looks bad, but it is no time to panic. Yet.

    MATH, Washington Capitals
    Share On
    • Facebook
    • Twitter
    • Pinterest
    • Google+



    • Russian Machine Never Breaks is not associated with the Washington Capitals; Monumental Sports, the NHL, or its properties. Not even a little bit.

      All original content on russianmachineneverbreaks.com is licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported (CC BY-NC-SA 3.0)– unless otherwise stated or superseded by another license. You are free to share, copy, and remix this content so long as it is attributed, done for noncommercial purposes, and done so under a license similar to this one.


    © RMNB LLC 2009- Privacy